The US rental market is sending a clear signal for 2026. After years of fast increases, rents are now falling in many major cities. According to CoStar, the country just recorded the steepest October rent decline in more than fifteen years. At the same time RealPage is reporting a third straight monthly drop in apartment prices. Occupancy is softening. New supply is hitting the market. Concessions are rising faster than at any point in the last decade.
This decline is more than a seasonal dip. It reflects broad shifts in rental demand, household formation, credit conditions, and labor markets. The trend also holds serious implications for home prices because rents and home values tend to move together. When rents fall for long enough, home prices almost always follow.